ifo Business Survey

Sentiment in German Residential Construction at an All-Time Low

The business climate in German residential construction has fallen from -56.9 points to -59.0 points – the lowest value ever measured. The same is true for business expectations, which have sunk even further, dropping from -64.7 points to -68.9 points. “The outlook for the coming months is bleak,” says Klaus Wohlrabe, Head of Surveys at ifo. “Residential construction is still facing the double whammy of a lack of new orders and ongoing project cancellations.”

“The lack of orders is weighing on the house building business,” Wohlrabe adds. In January, 52.5% of companies reported a lack of orders, down from 56.9% in December. There was a decline in cancellations to 17.4%, down from 22.1% in the previous month. However, “it’s too early to talk of a trend reversal in residential construction, since the tough conditions have hardly changed at all,” Wohlrabe says. “High interest rates and construction costs aren’t making things any easier for builders.”

Graph: Development of order cancellations and lack of orders, span 2020-2024, ifo Business survey
Journal (Complete Issue)
ifo Institut, München, 2024
Contact
Dr. Klaus Wohlrabe

Dr. Klaus Wohlrabe

Deputy Director of the ifo Center for Macroeconomics and Surveys and Head of Surveys
Tel
+49(0)89/9224-1229
Fax
+49(0)89/9224-1463
Mail
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