Publications

An important goal of the ifo Institute is to make its scientific findings, analyses, survey results, and statements accessible to as many people as possible. We therefore offer a wide range of publications for different target groups with the aim of stimulating economic policy debate. Here, our own authors as well as members of the ifo’s wider networks and other experts have the opportunity to publish relevant findings and debate them publicly.

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Contribution in Refereed Journal

The Federal Reserve’s Output Gap: The Unreliability of Real-Time Reliability Tests

Josefine Quast, Maik H. Wolters
2023
Journal of Applied Econometrics 38 (7), 1101-1111

Contribution in Refereed Journal

Global Financial Cycles since 1880

Galina Potjagailo, Maik H. Wolters
2023
Journal of International Money and Finance 131

Contribution in Refereed Journal

Reliable Real-Time Output Gap Estimates Based on a Modified Hamilton Filter

Josefine Quast, Maik Wolters
2022
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics 40 (1), 152–168

Contribution in Refereed Journal

Reliable Real-Time Output Gap Estimates Based on a Modified Hamilton Filter

Maik Wolters, Josefine Quast
2020
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics

Contribution in Refereed Journal

Predicting Ordinary and Severe Recessions with a Three-State Markov-Switching Dynamic Factor Model. An Application to the German Business Cycle

Kai Carstensen, Markus Heinrich, Magnus Reif, Maik H. Wolters
2020
International Journal of Forecasting 36 (3), 829-850

Contribution in Refereed Journal

Monetary Policy during Financial Crises: Is the Transmission Mechanism Impaired?

Maik Wolters, Nils Jannsen, Galina Potjagailo
2019
International Journal of Central Banking 15(4), 81-126

Contribution in Refereed Journal

Forecasting with Large Datasets: Aggregating Before, During or After the Estimation

Maik Wolters, Inske Pirschel
2018
Empirical Economics 55 (2), 573–596

Contribution in Refereed Journal

How the Baby Boomers’ Retirement Wave Distorts Model-Based Output Gap Estimates

Maik Wolters
2018
Journal of Applied Econometrics 33 (5), 680-689

Contribution in Refereed Journal

The Impact of Growth on Unemployment in a Low vs. a High Inflation Environment

Maik Wolters, Mewael F. Tesfaselassie
2018
Review of Economic Dynamics 28, 34-50

Contribution in Refereed Journal

The changing dynamics of US inflation persistence: a quantile regression approach

Maik Wolters, Peter Tillmann
2015
Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics 19 (2), 161-182

Contribution in Refereed Journal

Evaluating point and density forecasts of DSGE models

Maik Wolters
2015
Journal of Applied Econometrics 30 (1), 74-96

Contribution in Refereed Journal

Sticky Information Models in Dynare

Maik Wolters, Fabio Verona
2014
Computational Economics 43 (3), 357-370

Contribution in Refereed Journal

Forecasting and Policy Making

Maik Wolters, Volker Wieland
Chapter 5, in G. Elliott and A. Timmermann, 2013
Handbook of Economic Forecasting, Volume 2, 239-325

Contribution in Refereed Journal

Do large recessions reduce output permanently?

Maik Wolters, Mehdi Hosseinkouchack
2013
Economics Letters 121 (3), 516-519

Contribution in Refereed Journal

A New Comparative Approach to Macroeconomic Modeling and Policy Analysis

Maik Wolters, Volker Wieland, Tobias Cwik, Gernot J. Müller, Sebastian Schmidt
2012
Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization 83 (3), 523-541

Contribution in Refereed Journal

Estimating Monetary Policy Reaction Functions Using Quantile Regressions

Maik Wolters
2012
Journal of Macroeconomics 34 (2), 342-361

Contribution in Refereed Journal

The Diversity of Forecasts from Macroeconomic Models of the U.S. Economy

Maik Wolters, Volker Wieland
2011
Economic Theory 47 (2-3), 247-292

Contribution in Refereed Journal

Does trade integration alter monetary policy transmission?

Maik Wolters, Tobias Cwik, Gernot J. Müller
2011
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control 35 (4), 545-564

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