ifo Employment Barometer

ifo Employment Barometer Rises Slightly (May 2020)

German companies are still expecting a decline in employee numbers. Nevertheless, the ifo Employment Barometer rose to 88.3 points in May after measuring 86.3 points in April. But despite this increase, the number of layoffs will again exceed that of hires, which means that unemployment in Germany is set to rise further.


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Following a sharp fall on the barometer in all four sectors in April, three sectors have now seen some improvement. Only manufacturing saw more companies once again report a declining trend in employee numbers. The most pronounced rise on the barometer was in the service sector, closely followed by trade. However, people are still being laid off in most sectors, with clothing and fashion retailers among the most affected. Glimmers of hope can currently be found among management and tax consultancies, as well as auditors, as they seek to hire more staff. Food retailers and bike shops are in a similar position, with the latter also seeing a high demand for repair services.

 

ifo: ifo Employment Barometer Germany, 27.05.2020
ifo: ifo Employment Barometer by Sector, ifo Employment Barometer Germany, 27.05.2020

ifo Employment Barometer Germany

(Index, 2015 = 100, seasonally adjusted)

  05/19 06/19 07/19 08/19 09/19 10/19 11/19 12/19 01/20 02/20 03/20 04/20 05/20
Barometer 100.4 100.0 99.6 98.2 98.9 98.7 99.4 98.8 99.6 98.0 93.4 86.3 88.3

Source: ifo Business Survey.
© ifo Institute

ifo Employment Barometer by Sector

(Balances, seasonally adjusted)

  05/19 06/19 07/19 08/19 09/19 10/19 11/19 12/19 01/20 02/20 03/20 04/20 05/20
Manufacturing -5.2 -8.2 -12.2 -10.7 -12.7 -11.9 -14.0 -15.3 -15.4 -18.3 -18.3 -28.8 -29.0
Service Sector 13.3 14.0 13.4 8.4 12.1 10.4 14.0 11.7 15.1 10.3 -3.4 -19.4 -13.7
Trade 1.9 -0.6 1.2 -0.9 -0.9 -0.5 -0.4 1.9 0.4 1.4 -8.0 -25.6 -20.1
Construction 13.5 11.9 12.8 11.2 10.9 13.9 12.3 13.1 11.5 9.4 1.9 -8.2 -4.5

Source: ifo Business Survey.
© ifo Institute

Contact
Dr. Klaus Wohlrabe

Dr. Klaus Wohlrabe

Deputy Director of the ifo Center for Macroeconomics and Surveys and Head of Surveys
Tel
+49(0)89/9224-1229
Fax
+49(0)89/9224-1463
Mail
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