Project

ifo Import Climate

Client: internal
Project period: ongoing
Research Areas:
Project team: Dr. Robert Lehmann

Tasks

The aim of this project is to produce a monthly survey-based indicator to forecast German imports.

Methods

The ifo Import Climate for Germany is based on the Export Climates of its 38 main trading partners. Thus, the Import Climate models imports from the exporters’ perspective instead of the perspective of the domestic economy. The Export Climates of the main trading partners are weighted by their shares in German imports to compute the ifo Import Climate.

Data and other sources

Bank for International Settlements, Conference Board, European Commission, Eurostat, Institute for Supply Management, International Monetary Fund, OECD, National Statistical Offices, UN Comtrade Database

Results

The latest results are made available as a time-series.

Contribution in Refereed Journal
Christian Grimme, Robert Lehmann, Marvin Nöller
2021
Economic Modelling 98, 109 – 117
Working Paper
Christian Grimme, Robert Lehmann, Marvin Noeller
ifo Institute, Munich, 2019
ifo Working Paper No. 294

Article in Journal
Christian Grimme, Robert Lehmann, Marvin Nöller
ifo Institut, München, 2018
ifo Schnelldienst, 2018, 71, Nr. 12, 27-32
Contact
CV Foto, Robert Lehmann, ifo Institut

Dr. Robert Lehmann

Economist
Tel
+49(0)89/9224-1652
Fax
+49(0)89/985369
Mail