Adaptation to Climate Change at the Regional Level: Increasing Risks of Heavy Rain Using the Example of the Bavarian Oberland (Kare)

Tasks

The KARE project examines the local effects of climate change and the associated consequences for the municipalities of the Bavarian Oberland, particularly with regard to heavy rain events. The aim of the project is to sensitize the cities and municipalities of the Oberland to the consequences of climate change and to develop and test practical instruments for municipal heavy precipitation risk management together with actors from politics, business and society.

The central focus of the project is the transdisciplinary development, testing and dissemination of new methods for the creation and provision of planning-relevant information in dealing with current and future heavy precipitation and subsequent flood events. In particular, methods for the creation of integrated scenarios for the estimation of future risk and damage trends will be developed and tested. From such integrated risk scenarios, adaptation requirements are determined and evaluated together with regional stakeholders and the population. By means of regional economic modeling as well as multi-criteria analysis, possible packages of measures for risk reduction are evaluated with regard to their effectiveness and cost efficiency and examined for their acceptance.

ifo's task within KARE is to identify exposure and vulnerability trends and in the integrated assessment of adaptation options with a focus on socio-economic changes (population trends, real estate prices, insurance coverage, etc.). The results obtained from ifo analyzes flow into a risk governance concept. This gives municipalities the ability to better plan to counteract future risks of heavy precipitation.

Methods

Firm survey, application of a city model

Data and other sources

Infas geodata, fire brigade operations in the Oberland, Greensurance insurance data