Quantifications for the Development of a Basic Child Protection System

Tasks

Central to the project are ex ante analyses and quantifications as well as the user-oriented preparation and presentation of:

• Effects of the introduction of a basic child allowance, in particular with regard to
• labor supply, transfer dependency, poverty risks of families and social inequality,
• consequences and interactions of the basic child allowance in the interaction with other state benefits and regulations in the tax-transfer system, as well as
• direct and indirect costs of the basic child allowance.

Methods

Meaningful estimates for this are generated by means of behavior-based microsimulation The following microsimulation models, each of which integrates a labor supply model, can be used for this purpose:

• ZAΨMOD of the Research Institute on the Future of Work (IZA),
• the "Tax and Transfer Behavioral Microsimulation Model" of the ifo Institute - Leibniz
• Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, as well as
• EviSTA of the Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research (ZEW).

These three models have each been developed over a long period of time and have been practically tested in numerous applications, so that a high accuracy of the microsimulations to be performed, a good predictive power of the integrated labor supply models and a user-oriented processing and presentation can be guaranteed within the framework of this project.

Data and Other Sources

Sozio-Oekonomisches Panel (SOEP)
Faktisch anonymisierte Lohn- und Einkommensteuerstatistik (FAST)
Einkommens- und Verbrauchsstichprobe (EVS) and
Linked-Employer-Employee-Daten des IAB (LIA)