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The Construction Boom – How to Interpret ifo's Survey Results

Felix Leiss
ifo Institut, München, 2017

ifo Schnelldienst, 2017, 70, Nr. 23, 42-45

In the context of the ifo Business Survey, construction is remarkable thanks to its very low long-term average values. Are the current record figures for indicators to be interpreted absolutely or in relation to historical averages? A comparison with figures publicly released by the German Federal Statistics Office shows that long-term average figures are heavily influenced by a prolonged crisis in construction as of the mid-1990s. This makes it redundant to interpret current indicator figures against the background of their respective average figures.

JEL Classification: L740, E300

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ifo Institut, München, 2017