Article in Journal

Economic Situation 2017: Forecast and Reality

Wolfgang Nierhaus
ifo Institut, München, 2018

ifo Schnelldienst, 2018, 71, Nr. 03, 35-42

The ifo Institute has been critically examining the quality of its own economic forecasts for many years. In this article the ifo Economic Forecast of December 2016 for the year 2017 is discussed in the context of the recently published results of Germany's National Accounts. The article also looks at the institute's forecasting quality on a long-term average basis.

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ifo Institut, München, 2018