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ifo Business Survey — 12 June 2024

German manufacturing companies responded to the economic slowdown in winter with significantly more short-time work. Although it is likely to remain high in the coming months, it is not expected to worsen any further. In the second quarter, 18.8% of manufacturing companies responded that they were planning to introduce short-time work in the next three months.

ifo Business Survey — 7 June 2024

Sentiment in the German economy has barely improved during World Cups and European Championships. “At the time of the 2006 World Cup in Germany, there was initially a sense of anticipation in the ifo economic surveys. In the 6 months before the World Cup, the probability of ‘better business’ in the coming months rose by 1.1%,” says Klaus Wohlrabe, Head of Surveys at ifo. “After the World Cup, German companies actually found their business situation slightly better, with the probability of ‘good’ increasing by 1.1%. During and after the World Cup, however, there were no more effects on expectations,” he adds. “We suspect something similar now for the European Championship.”

ifo Business Survey — 6 June 2024

The business climate in the chemical industry in Germany recovered in May and returned to positive territory again for the first time since March 2022. Its index rose to +5.8 points from -5.2* points in April. “Confidence is returning to the German chemical industry,” says industry expert Anna Wolf from the ifo Institute.

ifo Business Survey — 4 June 2024

The business climate in Germany’s automotive industry deteriorated in May. This indicator dropped to -8.6 points, down from -2.4 points* in April. “Backlash from China to the trade conflict over electric cars with the US and Europe could severely impact business for German automotive manufacturers,” says Oliver Falck, Director of the ifo Center for Industrial Organization and New Technologies.

ifo Business Survey — 3 June 2024

The ifo Business Climate in Germany’s retail improved a little in May, finds the latest ifo Institute survey. The index rose to -13.3 points, up from -14.5 points in April. While this reflects slightly better business expectations, the outlook for retailers remains pessimistic. The indicator for assessments of the current business situation remained unchanged at  -2.1 points. “The European Football Championship is unlikely to deliver any noticeable sales impetus for retail as a whole,” says ifo expert Patrick Höppner.

ifo Business Survey — 31 May 2024

The ifo price expectations rose a little to 16.2 points in May, up from 15.2 points* in April. In manufacturing and wholesale in particular, slightly more companies plan to raise their prices than in the previous month. In consumer-related industries, by contrast, price expectations declined. “This means inflation is likely to fall again in the coming months. In August, it should drop below 2 percent for the first time since March 2021,” says Timo Wollmershäuser, Head of Forecasts at ifo.

ifo Business Survey — 21 May 2024

The competitiveness of German manufacturing within the EU and on global markets has been deteriorating for two years. This is based on analyses of the monthly ifo survey. Companies have reported falling behind in terms of competitiveness within the EU since the third quarter of 2022. The situation is similar on the global markets (outside the EU), where this trend had begun in the first quarter of 2022. “It’s becoming more difficult for German manufacturers to compete,” says Klaus Wohlrabe, Head of Surveys at ifo.

ifo Business Survey — 14 May 2024

The business climate in Germany’s chemical industry improved in April. The index rose to -6.0 points, up from -10.1 points* in March. Companies assessed their current business situation at -16.0 points, which is slightly better than in March (-18 points*). Business expectations have brightened considerably – the indicator rose to +4.6 points in April, up from -1.9 points* in March. “The chemical industry is somewhat more confident about the coming months,” says industry expert Anna Wolf from the ifo Institute.

ifo Business Survey — 10 May 2024

Residential construction in Germany is experiencing an order shortage. More than half the companies (55.2%) in this industry reported a lack of orders in April. In March, the figure was 56.2%. “Housebuilders are looking for signs of hope,” says Klaus Wohlrabe, Head of Surveys at ifo, “but there’s no end to the crisis in sight.”

ifo Business Survey — 8 May 2024

The order shortage in Germany has worsened and is an obstacle to the economy. In April, 39.5% of manufacturing companies reported a lack of orders, up from 36.9% in January. In the service sector, the proportion rose from 32.1% to 32.4%. “The lack of orders is hampering economic development in Germany,” says Klaus Wohlrabe, Head of Surveys at ifo. “Almost all industries are affected.”

ifo Business Survey — 2 May 2024

The business climate in Germany’s automotive industry brightened again in April. The index rose to -1.5 points, up from -5.3 points* in March. “Companies in Germany’s automotive industry rate their current business situation as slightly better, but more importantly, their outlook once again turned much less pessimistic than in March,” says Anita Wölfl, a specialist at the ifo Center for Industrial Organization and New Technologies.

ifo Business Survey — 30 April 2024

The ifo Business Climate in retail brightened further in April. The index rose to -14.5 points, up from -17.5 points in March. Assessments of the current business situation improved significantly. Retailers’ business expectations also became somewhat more optimistic, but remain largely cautious. “Consumer-related businesses are likely to support the overall economy in 2024,” says ifo expert Patrick Höppner.

ifo Business Survey — 29 April 2024

In Germany, slightly more companies than in the previous month intend to raise their prices in April. The ifo price expectations rose a little to 15.1 points in April, up from 14.3 points in March. “Inflation is unlikely to fall any further in the coming months and is set to remain at just over 2%,” says Sascha Möhrle, economic expert at the ifo Institute.

ifo Business Survey — 18 April 2024

Companies in Germany have revised their investment plans for the current year downward. The ifo investment expectations fell to -0.1 points in March, down from +1.2 points in November. “Global demand for capital goods and intermediate goods remains weak and uncertainties persist regarding economic policy. As a result, many companies are postponing their investment decisions,” says Lara Zarges, economic expert at the ifo Institute.

ifo Business Survey — 16 April 2024

The business climate in Germany’s chemical industry improved in March. The index rose to -10.5 points, up from -15.5 points* in February. Business expectations improved sharply, with the indicator climbing to -2.9 points, up from -14.9 points in February. “Although the order situation in the chemical industry still leaves a lot to be desired, companies seem to have weathered the worst of the crisis,” says industry expert Anna Wolf from the ifo Institute.

ifo Business Survey — 15 April 2024

German manufacturers hardly have to struggle with material shortages anymore. In March, 10.2% of the companies surveyed reported shortages, down from 14.6% in February. “The supply of raw materials and intermediate products has recently seen significant improvement,” says Klaus Wohlrabe, Head of Surveys at ifo. “The situation is now almost back to how it was before the coronavirus crisis.”

ifo Business Survey — 12 April 2024

Cancellations in German residential construction have increased. Just under one in five companies (19.6%) reported canceled orders. In February, the figure was 17.7%. “The situation in residential construction remains tense,” says Klaus Wohlrabe, Head of Surveys at ifo. “There aren’t enough new orders to offset the cancellations.”

ifo Business Survey — 3 April 2024

The business climate in Germany’s automotive industry brightened in March. The indicator rose to -5.8 points, up from -9.9 points* in February. “The German automotive industry seems to have finally emerged from its economic low in the second half of 2023 and is looking to the future with more confidence,” says Anita Wölfl, a specialist at the ifo Center for Industrial Organization and New Technologies.

ifo Business Survey — 2 April 2024

ifo price expectations in Germany fell to 14.3 points in March, down from 15.0 points in February. This is their lowest level since March 2021. “Inflation is still on the decline and should fall below 2% this summer. From a German perspective, there’s no reason why the ECB shouldn’t cut interest rates soon,” says Timo Wollmershäuser, Head of Forecasts at ifo.

ifo Business Survey — 28 March 2024

The ifo Business Climate in retail brightened noticeably in March. The indicator for assessments of the current business situation rose to -7.3 points, up from -18.1 points* in February. There was a clear improvement in business expectations, too. “The pessimism that has been such a feature of recent times is receding. Business in the run-up to Easter has apparently brought a ray of hope for many retailers,” says ifo expert Patrick Höppner.

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Dr. Cornelia Geißler

Dr. Cornelia Geißler

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Dr. Maria Kuwilsky-Sirman, Teamleitung für Digitale Kommunikation, Kommunikation

Dr. Maria Kuwilsky-Sirman

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