Project

Distributional Effects of Selected Tax Policy Reforms during the 19th Legislative Period

Client: Federal Ministry of Finance
Project period: März 2021 - August 2021
Research Areas:
Project team: Dr. Maximilian Joseph Blömer, Martin Mosler, Prof. Dr. Andreas Peichl

Tasks

This study examines the distributional effects of tax policy during the 19th legislative period. The ifo microsimulation model ifo-MSM-TTL simulates the changes in income for different household types and income groups as well as the change in inequality and poverty measures due to reforms in tax legislation. The study focuses on the key tax policy, including the partial abolition of the solidarity surcharge, adjustments to the income tax schedule, the increase in the child allowance, the child benefit and the allowance for single parents, as well as adjustments to the disability allowance.

Methods

Ifo Microsimulation Model ifo-MSM-TTL

Data and other sources

Socio-Economic Panel (SOEP) from 2018 (v35).

Results

In nominal terms, the tax policy reforms relieved the burden on many private households. With the exception of the reduction of the solidarity surcharge, most of the implemented tax policy measures are in line with regular adjustments to real income trends. The distributional effects induce a slight reduction in the inequality measures.

Publication (in German)

Monograph (Authorship)
Maximilian Joseph Blömer, Przemyslaw Brandt, Anina Harter, Martin Mosler, Andreas Peichl
ifo Institut, München, 2021
ifo Forschungsberichte / 122

Die Kurzexpertise ist Teil des Projekts

Project
Federal Ministry of Finance
January 2020 – December 2022