Project

Factors of Family Formation, Childlessness, and Multi-child Families

Client: Deutscher Familienverband, Landesverband Sachsen
Project period: January 2022 – December 2022
Research Areas:
Project team: Prof. Dr. Joachim Ragnitz, Katharina Heisig, Marius Kröper (Technische Universität Dresden)

Tasks

Germany is in the midst of a demographic challenge. This might be mitigated by strengthening the framework for families in general and family formation in particular. The focus of this study is Saxony and the eastern German states. This study examines first, which factors influence people to form a family. It also examines which factors favor multiple-child families. Second, we want to answer questions regarding childlessness. In particular, we investigate why adults decide against starting a family, and which factors influence childlessness among adults older than 45 years. The study focuses less on monetary and structural factors, which have already been widely studied, but more on psychosocial factors, which have received less attention so far.

Methods

A comprehensive literature analysis precedes the empirical part of this study. The aim of this literature review is to identify the most important factors for a theory-based empirical approach. Based on Logit-Regression analyses, we identify the most important factors relevant for the above-mentioned questions.

Data and other sources

The empirical analysis is based on data from the Pairfam study.

Results

Our results show that the most important psychosocial factors for  for fertility behavior in East Germany are the following: the ideal number of children, the share of friends and acquaintances with children, and the relative importance of hobbies, friends, and one’s occupation. These factors are equally relevant for women and men. 

The analysis also revealed that perceived costs of children are relevant, as well as an individual’s attitudes towards gender roles and the degree of a mother’s or father’s family-orientation. Subjectively perceived life satisfaction and satisfaction with the family may also play a role. However, we find only limited effects for these factors with higher relevance for women.

Publications

Monograph (Authorship)
Katharina Heisig, Marius Kröper, Tim Scheurer
ifo Institut, Dresden, 2023
ifo Dresden Studien / 89
Article in Journal
Katharina Heisig, Marius Kröper
ifo Institut, Dresden, 2023
ifo Dresden berichtet, 2023, 30, Nr. 2, 03-07
Article in Journal
Katharina Heisig, Marius Kröper, Tim Scheurer
ifo Institut, Dresden, 2022
ifo Dresden berichtet, 2022, 29, Nr. 6, 10-18
Contact
Portraitbild Prof. Joachim Ragnitz

Prof. Dr. Joachim Ragnitz

Managing Director ifo Dresden
Tel
+49(0)351/26476-17
Fax
+49(0)351/26476-20
Mail
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