Handbook of survey-based business cycle analysis
Elgar, Cheltenham, 2007
Ifo Economic Policy, 2
This Handbook aims to provide an overview of regular survey activities, as well as to show how survey results can be used scientifically in the context of business-cycle analysis and forecasting. - Examples of various business surveys are described in detail, starting with their objectives, the questions they pose, how they are weighted and extrapolated and the representativeness of their results. A detailed scientific examination of the explanatory value of the data is also made in order to demonstrate their potential usefulness. The Handbook has three parts: firstly, it presents the importance of business surveys for empirical research. Secondly, selected surveys are introduced in detail such as the Ifo Business Survey and the Ifo Investment Survey, and thirdly, a broad spectrum of studies on the consequence of the survey results is presented. The significance of the surveys applied equally to business cycle analysis and to forecasting. An array of modern methods of time series analysis and econometric model construction is used in these investigations
Articles included
The importance of representative surveys of enterprises for empirically oriented business cycle research
Elgar, Cheltenham, 2007
in: Goldrian, Georg: Handbook of survey-based business cycle analysis, 2007, S.3-16
Business survey in manufacturing
Elgar, Cheltenham, 2007
in: Goldrian, Georg: Handbook of survey-based business cycle analysis, 2007, Ifo Economic Policy, 2, S.19-32
Business survey in services
Elgar, Cheltenham, 2007
in: Handbook of survey-based business cycle analysis, 2007, S.33-40
Investment survey in manufacturing
Elgar, Cheltenham, 2007
in: Goldrian, Georg: Handbook of survey-based business cycle analysis, 2007, S.41-56
World Economic Survey
Elgar, Cheltenham, 2007
in: Goldrian, Georg: Handbook of survey-based business cycle analysis, 2007, S.57-65
Innovation survey
Elgar, Cheltenham, 2007
in: Goldrian, Georg: Handbook of survey-based business cycle analysis, 2007, S.67-80
Short-term industry branch forecasting based on the results of the Ifo Business Survey
Elgar, Cheltenham, 2007
in: Goldrian, Georg: Handbook of survey-based business cycle analysis, 2007, S.83-89
The significance of the Ifo Business Survey Data at the regional level
Elgar, Cheltenham, 2007
in: Goldrian, Georg: Handbook of survey-based business cycle analysis, 2007, S.91-97
Suitability of WES data for forecasting inflation
Elgar, Cheltenham, 2007
in: Goldrian, Georg: Handbook of survey-based business cycle analysis, 2007, S.99-115
Methods of economic forecasting and business cycle-indicators
Elgar, Cheltenham, 2007
in: Goldrian, Georg: Handbook of survey-based business cycle analysis, 2007, S.117-142
Evaluation and development of composite leading indicators based on harmonised business and consumer surveys
Elgar, Cheltenham, 2007
in: Goldrian, Georg: Handbook of survey-based business cycle analysis, 2007, S.143-150
A leading indicator composed of survey data : appropriate construction and prognostic significance
Elgar, Cheltenham, 2007
in: Goldrian, Georg: Handbook of survey-based business cycle analysis, 2007, S.151-157
Can the Ifo Business Climate Indicator improve short-term GDP forecasts?
Elgar, Cheltenham, 2007
in: Goldrian, Georg: Handbook of survey-based business cycle analysis, 2007, S.159-173
The accuracy of turning point predictions with the Ifo Business Climate
Elgar, Cheltenham, 2007
in: Goldrian, Georg: Handbook of survey-based business cycle analysis, 2007, S.175-196
A leading indicator for equipment investment
Elgar, Cheltenham, 2007
in: Goldrian, Georg: Handbook of survey-based business cycle analysis, 2007, S.197-201
Ifo Survey on employment plans : sectoral evaluation
Elgar, Cheltenham, 2007
in: Goldrian, Georg: Handbook of survey-based business cycle analysis, 2007, S.203-221
On the methodology of business cycle analysis
Elgar, Cheltenham, 2007
in: Goldrian, Georg: Handbook of survey-based business cycle analysis, 2007, S.223-243