Populism
For some years now, populism has been experiencing an upsurge not only in the United States but also in Europe. Witness the election of Donald Trump as US President, the government crisis in the UK, the gains of the Rassemblement National in France and the AfD in Germany, and the successes of the Lega and the Movimento Cinque Stelle in Italy.
Populist groups have also established themselves in the European Parliament: it was the struggle for votes between the representatives of a “Europe of the Fatherlands” and the pro-Europeans that determined the election in May 2019. The final outcome awarded the right-wing populist group 73 out of 750 seats in the new European Parliament. Populists question the foundations of our economic and social order – not only European integration and pluralism, but also free markets for goods and factors.
In Germany, the results of the state elections in Saxony and Brandenburg in September 2019 show that voter preferences are changing. On the fringes of the established parties, space is emerging for new, sometimes radical groupings. The two major people’s parties have suffered heavy losses, while the AfD has established itself as the third-strongest force.
What Is Populism?
The word populism comes from populus, Latin for “the people.” Populists claim to represent “the common people” in contrast to the “elite,” which they portray as corrupt and guilty of stealing the people’s wealth and identity. Populists paint themselves as truly looking out for the interests of the people, the “common man on the street,” and declare that their policies express the true will of the people. Populists assert that they make policies for those who are afraid for their status in society and feel abandoned by the political establishment. They accuse the “ruling elite” of failure, and they hold globalization and international trade responsible for economic difficulties. They reject migration as well as European economic and political integration. For them, the creation of supranational institutions, the internal market, and the euro are evidence of a loss of national sovereignty. Populist politics rejects compromises and the separation of powers, instead strongly preferring simplistic solutions.
Why Are They So Successful?
Many believe the advance of globalization – including international trade, capital mobility, and especially migration – and the resulting growth in inequality to be a breeding ground for populist currents. Another promoting factor is how economic crises lead to debt, unemployment, and wage stagnation. For instance, the financial crisis was followed by a global recession and a eurozone debt crisis. This gives people the impression of a loss in prosperity, such that they fear social decline and feel both “disconnected” economically and shut out from social cohesion. Moreover, populist parties owe much of their success to information gaps, people’s insecurity and prejudices about other cultures and religions, and insufficient education.
What Are the Right Answers to Populism?
As part of its research activities, the ifo Institute is concerned with the question of which social channels and local networks populists use, how these benefit them, and what role other factors such as historical roots, trust in the political establishment, education, or inequality play in the success of populist parties. Felix Rösel from the ifo Institute’s Dresden Branch demonstrates that what the AfD’s stronger showing in the 2017 Bundestag elections in eastern Germany embodies is not a feeling of economic injustice but a rejection of social diversity and state institutions. Tolerance and trust are lacking.
According to ifo President Clemens Fuest, the answer to populism is not a welfare state that regulates everything, but liberal economic policy. Prosperity and freedom are founded on competition and open markets, accompanied by effective regulation, a strong welfare state, and diversity.
“Populism and denial of democracy are currently a source of political turbulence in Europe. We cannot yet say what far-reaching consequences that will have for our future.”
Prof. Dr. Niklas Potrafke, Director of the ifo Center for Public Finance and Political Economy
-
-
-
Article in JournalUrsula Muench, Armin Nassehi, Joe Kaeser, Knut Bergmann, Matthias Diermeier, Florian Dorn, David Gstrein, Florian Neumeier, Manuel Funke, Moritz Schularick, Christoph Trebesch, Kerim Peren Arin, Efstathios Polyzos, Marcel Thum, Luisa Dörr, Niklas Potrafke, Felix Rösel, Tuuli Tähtinenifo Institut, München, 2024ifo Schnelldienst, 2024, 77, Nr. 03, 03-32
-
Article in JournalK. Peren Arin, Deni Mazrekaj, Marcel Thumifo Institut, Dresden, 2023ifo Dresden berichtet, 2023, 30, Nr. 3, 14-16
-
Article in JournalKerim Peren Arin, Juan A. Lacomba, Francisco Lagos, Deni Mazrekaj, Marcel Thumifo Institut, Dresden, 2022ifo Dresden berichtet, 2022, 29, Nr. 2, 10-14
-
Article in JournalMona Förtsch, Felix Röselifo Institut, Dresden, 2019ifo Dresden berichtet, 2019, 26, Nr. 6, 03-07
-
ifo Viewpoint — 21 May 2019
-
Article in JournalFelix Röselifo Institut, Dresden, 2019ifo Dresden berichtet, 2019, 27, Nr. 02, 21-22
-
Article in JournalTill van Treeck, Judith Niehues, Galina Kolev, Piotr Pysz, Peter Hampe, Andreas Peichl, Marc Stöckli, Georg Cremerifo Institut, München, 2018ifo Schnelldienst, 2018, 71, Nr. 15, 03-25
-
Article in JournalFelix Rösel, Lasare Samartzidisifo Institut, Dresden, 2018ifo Dresden berichtet, 2018, 25, Nr. 03, 09-13
-
Article in JournalAndreas Steinmayrifo Institute, Munich, 2017in: ifo DICE Report 15 (4), 24-27
-
Article in JournalCarl C. Berningifo Institute, Munich, 2017in: ifo DICE Report 15 (4), 16-19
-
Article in JournalAnthony Edo, Jonathan Öztunc, Panu Poutvaaraifo Institute, Munich, 2017ifo DICE Report 15 (4), 28-33
-
Article in JournalAlkis Henri Otto, Max Friedrich Steinhardtifo Institute, Munich, 2017in: ifo DICE Report 15 (4), 20-23
-
Article in JournalDorine Boumansifo Institute, Munich, 2017ifo DICE Report 15 (4), 40-44
-
Article in JournalFelix Röselifo Institut, Dresden, 2017ifo Dresden berichtet, 2017, 24, Nr. 6, 03-06
-
Article in JournalNorbert Berthold, Adalbert Winkler, Sascha Becker, Thiemo Fetzer, Dennis Novy, Marianne Kneuer, Nikolaus Kowallifo Institut, München, 2017ifo Schnelldienst, 2017, 70, Nr. 12, 03-21
-
Article in JournalDorine Boumansifo Institut, München, 2017ifo Schnelldienst, 2017, 70, Nr. 10, 41-43
-
Article in JournalTim Friehe, Helge Müller, Florian Neumeierifo Institut, Dresden, 2017ifo Dresden berichtet, 2017, 24, Nr. 02, 31-36
-
Article in JournalFelix Rösel, Julia Sonnenburgifo Institut, Dresden, 2016ifo Dresden berichtet, 2016, 23, Nr. 06, 06-13
-
Article in JournalFelix Röselifo Institut, Dresden, 2016ifo Dresden berichtet, 2016, 23, Nr. 01, 21-25
-
Article in JournalJoachim Ragnitz2016Wirtschaftsdienst 96 (10), 702-703
-
Article in JournalSabine Gralka, Julia Hellerifo Institut, München, 2015ifo Dresden berichtet, 2015, 22, Nr. 05, 03-16
-
-