Prof. Dr. Maik Wolters
Professional Experience
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since 10/2020
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ifo Research Director, ifo Center for Macroeconomics and Surveys
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since 2020
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Professor of Monetary Economics, University of Würzburg
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2017-2020
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Professor of Macroeconomics, University of Jena
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2012-2017
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Assistant Professor of Macroeconomics, University of Kiel and Kiel Institute for the World Economy
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2010-2012
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Postdoc, Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability, Goethe-University Frankfurt
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Contribution in Refereed JournalThe Federal Reserve’s Output Gap: The Unreliability of Real-Time Reliability TestsJosefine Quast, Maik H. Wolters2023Journal of Applied Econometrics 38 (7), 1101-1111
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Contribution in Refereed JournalGlobal Financial Cycles since 1880Galina Potjagailo, Maik H. Wolters2023Journal of International Money and Finance 131
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Contribution in Refereed JournalReliable Real-Time Output Gap Estimates Based on a Modified Hamilton FilterJosefine Quast, Maik Wolters2022Journal of Business & Economic Statistics 40 (1), 152–168
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Contribution in Refereed JournalReliable Real-Time Output Gap Estimates Based on a Modified Hamilton FilterMaik Wolters, Josefine Quast2020Journal of Business & Economic Statistics
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Contribution in Refereed JournalPredicting Ordinary and Severe Recessions with a Three-State Markov-Switching Dynamic Factor Model. An Application to the German Business CycleKai Carstensen, Markus Heinrich, Magnus Reif, Maik H. Wolters2020International Journal of Forecasting 36 (3), 829-850
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Contribution in Refereed JournalMonetary Policy during Financial Crises: Is the Transmission Mechanism Impaired?Maik Wolters, Nils Jannsen, Galina Potjagailo2019International Journal of Central Banking 15(4), 81-126
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Contribution in Refereed JournalThe Impact of Growth on Unemployment in a Low vs. a High Inflation EnvironmentMaik Wolters, Mewael F. Tesfaselassie2018Review of Economic Dynamics 28, 34-50
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Contribution in Refereed JournalHow the Baby Boomers’ Retirement Wave Distorts Model-Based Output Gap EstimatesMaik Wolters2018Journal of Applied Econometrics 33 (5), 680-689
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Contribution in Refereed JournalForecasting with Large Datasets: Aggregating Before, During or After the EstimationMaik Wolters, Inske Pirschel2018Empirical Economics 55 (2), 573–596
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Contribution in Refereed JournalEvaluating point and density forecasts of DSGE modelsMaik Wolters2015Journal of Applied Econometrics 30 (1), 74-96
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Contribution in Refereed JournalThe changing dynamics of US inflation persistence: a quantile regression approachMaik Wolters, Peter Tillmann2015Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics 19 (2), 161-182
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Contribution in Refereed JournalSticky Information Models in DynareMaik Wolters, Fabio Verona2014Computational Economics 43 (3), 357-370
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Contribution in Refereed JournalDo large recessions reduce output permanently?Maik Wolters, Mehdi Hosseinkouchack2013Economics Letters 121 (3), 516-519
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Contribution in Refereed JournalForecasting and Policy MakingMaik Wolters, Volker WielandChapter 5, in G. Elliott and A. Timmermann, 2013Handbook of Economic Forecasting, Volume 2, 239-325
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Contribution in Refereed JournalA New Comparative Approach to Macroeconomic Modeling and Policy AnalysisMaik Wolters, Volker Wieland, Tobias Cwik, Gernot J. Müller, Sebastian Schmidt2012Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization 83 (3), 523-541
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Contribution in Refereed JournalEstimating Monetary Policy Reaction Functions Using Quantile RegressionsMaik Wolters2012Journal of Macroeconomics 34 (2), 342-361
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Contribution in Refereed JournalThe Diversity of Forecasts from Macroeconomic Models of the U.S. EconomyMaik Wolters, Volker Wieland2011Economic Theory 47 (2-3), 247-292
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Contribution in Refereed JournalDoes trade integration alter monetary policy transmission?Maik Wolters, Tobias Cwik, Gernot J. Müller2011Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control 35 (4), 545-564
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ProjectInternalongoing
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ProjectGerman Federal Ministry for Economic Affairs and EnergyJuly 2018 – June 2022
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2007-2010 Ph.D. in Economics, Goethe-University Frankfurt
2005-2007 M.Sc. Quantitative Economics, Goethe-University Frankfurt
2004-2005 M.A. International Business, ESC Rennes School of Business
2002-2004 Undergraduate Studies, University of Bielefeld
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since 2017 Affiliate Professor and Research Fellow, Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability, Goethe-University Frankfurt
since 2017 Research Fellow, Kiel Institute fort he World Economy
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