Public Staffing through 2030 in the Free State of Saxony and the Competitive Situation to the Private Sector

Content

The Free State of Saxony’s public sector is facing demographic challenges. From 2015 to 2030, nearly half of the workforce in Saxony’s public sector will retire. In light of the demographic developments in Saxony, filling these vacancies with younger workers may well prove very difficult. The public sector and the private sector will be competing for the same groups of skilled workers in some areas. On behalf of the Saxon State Ministry of Finance, the Dresden Branch of the ifo Institute investigated the future challenges in filling vacancies in the Saxon job market. This analysis was conducted at the level of qualifications, occupations and economic sectors. The study sought to identify the domains, in which the private sector and the public sector are in competition. It also investigated the potential effectiveness of various personnel strategies in the public sector. For instance, the potentials for reducing overcapacities among public staff were evaluated. Moreover, we examined the effects of market adjustment processes and technological and structural changes.

Publications

Bauer, David, Joachim Ragnitz, Julia Sonnenburg and Michael Weber, Personalbedarfe im öffentlichen Dienst des Freistaates Sachsen bis 2030 und Konkurrenzsituation zur Privatwirtschaft, ifo Dresden Studien 81, ifo Institut, 2018 | PDF Download

Bauer, David, Julia Sonnenburg and Michael Weber, "Für ein Viertel der älteren Beschäftigten in Sachsen könnte bald der Nachwuchs fehlen", ifo Dresden berichtet 25 (03), 2018, 03–08 | PDF Download