Working Paper

Household behaviour in times of political change: Evidence from Egypt

Yvonne Giesing, Almedina Music
ifo Institute, Munich, 2017

ifo Working Paper No. 237

Using representative household survey data, we study the short-term microeconomic effects of the Egyptian revolution on household behaviour in terms of education, health expenditure and savings. We construct a new measure of political instability by analysing the number of fatalities during political protests throughout the country. Difference-in-Differences estimations show that affected households increased spending on education, especially on their sons' higher education. This can be explained by a positive outlook towards the future, with better labour market prospects. At the same time, households decreased spending on health and increased savings, which can be interpreted as precautionary behaviour.

Schlagwörter: Egypt, education, health, household savings, political uncertainty
JEL Klassifikation: D140, D740, I100, I220