Dr. Manuel Menkhoff
Main Focus
Professional Experience
Research Director, ifo Center for Macroeconomics and Surveys
Junior Economist and Doctoral Student, ifo Center for Macroeconomics and Surveys
Research Assistant, ifo Center for Macroeconomics and Surveys
Research Assistant, LMU Munich, Department of Macroeconomics
Internship, Deutsche Bundesbank, Department of Financial Stability
Internship, German Institute for Economic Research, Feldforschung in Uganda
Recent Publications
Uncertainty and Change: Survey Evidence of Firms’ Subjective Beliefs
Rüdiger Bachmann, Kai Carstensen, Stefan Lautenbacher, Manuel Menkhoff, Martin SchneiderThe Persistent Effects of Adverse Shocks to Investment
Lea Best, Sebastian Link, Manuel MenkhoffThe Devil Is in the Tail: Macroeconomic Tail Risk Expectations of Firms
Manuel Menkhoff-
-
Uncertainty and Change: Survey Evidence of Firms’ Subjective Beliefs
Rüdiger Bachmann, Kai Carstensen, Stefan Lautenbacher, Manuel Menkhoff, Martin SchneiderAmerican Economic ReviewLearn more -
Downward Revision of Investment Decisions after Corporate Tax Hikes
Sebastian Link, Manuel Menkhoff, Andreas Peichl, Paul SchüleAmerican Economic Journal: Economic Policy 16 (4)194–222Learn more -
Demand or Supply? Price Adjustment Heterogeneity during the COVID-19 Pandemic
Sebastian Link, Manuel Menkhoff, Peter Zorn, Almut BalleerInternational Journal of Central Banking 2024, 20 (1)93-158Learn more
-
-
-
The Persistent Effects of Adverse Shocks to Investment
Lea Best, Sebastian Link, Manuel MenkhoffCESifo Working Paper No. 12876Learn more -
The Devil Is in the Tail: Macroeconomic Tail Risk Expectations of Firms
Manuel MenkhoffCESifo Working Paper No. 11848Learn more -
Belief Updating and AI Adoption: Experimental Evidence from Firms
Manuel MenkhoffCESifo Working Paper No. 12291Learn more -
Uncertainty and Change: Survey Evidence of Firms' Subjective Beliefs
Rüdiger Bachmann, Kai Carstensen, Stefan Lautenbacher, Manuel Menkhoff, Martin SchneiderCESifo Working Paper No. 9394Learn more -
The Impact of Interest: Firms' Investment Sensitivity to Interest Rates
Lea Best, Benjamin Born, Manuel MenkhoffCESifo Working Paper No. 12167Learn more -
Firms’ Pass-Through Dynamics: A Survey Approach
Isabel Gödl-Hanisch, Manuel MenkhoffCESifo Working Paper No. 10520Learn more -
Firm Expectations and News: Micro v Macro
Benjamin Born, Zeno Enders, Manuel Menkhoff, Gernot J. Müller, Knut Niemannifo Working Paper No. 400Learn more -
Firm Expectations and News: Micro v Macro
Benjamin Born, Zeno Enders, Manuel Menkhoff, Gernot J. Müller, Knut NiemannCESifo Working Paper No. 10192Learn more -
Corporate Taxes Reduce Investment: New Evidence from Germany
Sebastian Link, Manuel Menkhoff, Andreas Peichl, Paul SchüleEconPol Policy Brief 44Learn more -
Downward Revision of Investment Decisions after Corporate Tax Hikes
Sebastian Link, Manuel Menkhoff, Andreas Peichl, Paul SchüleCESifo Working Paper No. 9786Learn more -
Demand or Supply? Price Adjustment during the Covid-19 Pandemic
Almut Balleer, Sebastian Link, Manuel Menkhoff, Peter ZornCESifo Working Paper No. 8394Learn more
-
-
-
Geplante Unternehmensteuerreformen: Eine modellbasierte Simulation der Auswirkungen auf Investitionen und Steuereinnahmen
Manuel Menkhoff, Andreas Peichlifo Schnelldienst, 2025, 78, Nr. 0804-08Learn more -
Die Nutzung von Künstlicher Intelligenz in der deutschen Wirtschaft
Anna Kerkhof, Thomas Licht, Manuel Menkhoff, Klaus Wohlrabeifo Schnelldienst, 2024, 77, Nr. 0839-43Learn more -
Wie passen Unternehmen ihre Investitionen an die gestiegenen Zinsen an?
Lea Best, Benjamin Born, Manuel Menkhoffifo Schnelldienst digital, 2024, 5, Nr. 301-04Learn more -
The Quantitative Expectations Module of the ifo Business Survey
Ruediger Bachmann, Kai Carstensen, Manuel Menkhoff, Martin Schneiderin: Sauer, Stefan / Schasching, Moritz / Wohlrabe, Klaus (Hrsg.): Handbook of ifo Surveys209-217Learn more -
Inwieweit geben Unternehmen die gestiegenen Einkaufspreise an ihre Kunden weiter?
Isabel Gödl-Hanisch, Manuel Menkhoffifo Schnelldienst, 2022, 75, Nr. 1232-34Learn more -
Frauen als Gründerinnen: Die Covid-Pandemie vergrößert den bestehenden Gender Gap
Elena Herold, Carla Krolage, Manuel Menkhoff, Annika Oberhuber, Paul Schüleifo Schnelldienst, 2022, 75, Nr. 1036-40Learn more -
The EU’s Social Connectedness to Ukraine and Its Implications for the Distribution of Ukrainian Refugees
Lea Best, Manuel MenkhoffCESifo Forum 23 (4)28-35Learn more -
Umsatzunsicherheit und Umsatzerwartungen deutscher Firmen zur Zeit des Ukraine-Kriegs: Gas und Gasausfall spielen eine eher geringe Rolle
Rüdiger Bachmann, Kai Carstensen, Manuel Menkhoff, Martin Schneiderifo Schnelldienst, 2022, 75, Nr. 0633-36Learn more -
Flüchtlingsströme infolge des russischen Angriffskrieges auf die Ukraine: Ihre Verteilung unter Berücksichtigung sozialer Kontakte
Lea Best, Manuel Menkhoffifo Schnelldienst, 2022, 75, Sonderausgabe April23-28Learn more -
ifo Konjunkturprognose Sommer 2021: Deutsche Wirtschaft im Spannungsfeld zwischen Öffnungen und Lieferengpässen
Timo Wollmershäuser, Przemyslaw Brandt, Christian Grimme, Max Lay, Robert Lehmann, Sebastian Link, Manuel Menkhoff, Sascha Möhrle, Ann-Christin Rathje, Pauliina Sandqvist, Radek Šauer, Marc Stöckli, Klaus Wohlrabeifo Schnelldienst, 2021, 74, Sonderausgabe Juni01-52Learn more -
Cities Hit Harder by the Economic Consequences of the Coronavirus Crisis
Kevin Kloiber, Manuel Menkhoff, Sascha Möhrle, Andreas Peichlifo Schnelldienst, 2021, 74, Nr. 0553-58Learn more -
ifo Economic Forecast Winter 2020: The Coronavirus Strikes Back – Another Lockdown Slows the Economy for a Second Time
Timo Wollmershäuser, Marcell Göttert, Christian Grimme, Stefan Lautenbacher, Robert Lehmann, Sebastian Link, Manuel Menkhoff, Sascha Möhrle, Ann-Christin Rathje, Magnus Reif, Pauliina Sandqvist, Radek Šauer, Marc Stöckli, Anna Wolfifo Schnelldienst, 2020, 73, Sonderausgabe Dezember 202003-61Learn more -
Supply or Demand? Findings from the Price-Setting Behavior of German Companies during the Coronavirus Crisis
Almut Balleer, Sebastian Link, Manuel Menkhoff, Peter Zornifo Schnelldienst, 2020, 73, Nr. 0713-16Learn more
-
-
-
Project Long-COVID? Medium-Term Impact of the Corona Virus Pandemic on Decisions of Firms
Client:Deutsche BundesbankProject duration:March 2022 - December 2024Learn more -
Project Structural Change in Rural Areas – Company Biographies
Client:Bundesinstitut für Bau-, Stadt- und RaumforschungProject duration:September 2021 - October 2022Learn more
-
10/2018 – 09/2020 M.Sc. in Quantitative Economics, LMU Munich
10/2014 – 09/2017 B.Sc. in Economics, Free University of Berlin
-
-
14 Aug 2025
Press release Permanent Declining Balance Depreciation Promotes Growth in Germany
Declining balance depreciation, as is currently possible under the investment booster, should be introduced indefinitely in Germany. That is one of the results of a recent study by the ifo Institute, in which the economic effects of the planned corporate tax reforms (also known as “investment boosters”) in Germany were simulated. “Both the planned reduction in corporation tax and the introduction of declining balance depreciation will increase the capital stock and hence investment in the long term,” says Andreas Peichl, Director of the ifo Center for Macroeconomics and Surveys and co-author of the study.
Learn more -
7 Mar 2024
Press release Companies cut investments by 8.4% because of higher interest rates
Over the past 18 months, companies in Germany have reduced their planned investments by an average of 8.4% due to higher interest rates. This is a finding from the ifo Business Survey of December 2023, which has now been published in ifo Schnelldienst. “Companies are responding to higher interest rates by investing significantly less in energy efficiency and renewables. They are also reducing their research and development spending,” says ifo researcher Manuel Menkhoff.
Learn more -
21 Nov 2022
Press release German Companies Pass On Increased Costs to Customers with a Time Lag
German companies are passing on their higher purchase prices to their customers, but slowly and not in full. This is the finding of an ifo Institute survey, according to which companies have passed on just 34 percent of their purchase price increases over the past few months. They plan to raise this to 50 percent by April. “This is likely to lead to further inflationary pressure on consumer prices in the coming months,” says ifo researcher Manuel Menkhoff. The companies themselves report that weak demand, competitive pressure, and long-term contracts are holding them back from raising prices.
Learn more
-